Boston College Athletics · Trustee Working Group
A six-season commitment, sized from the strategy and phased against milestones. Move a driver to stress-test the ask; every figure recomputes against the verified model. Base case shown at open.
Gross cost
6-season window · —
Offsets
match + ACC upside + CFP
Net ask — the board vote
honest range —
Net / season (avg)
committed phase by phase
The inputs a trustee stress-tests. Each is a labeled assumption from the working model — a norm or a projection, not a settled line, unless marked hard.
The biggest swing in the ask and the most donor-dependent line. A funded collective alongside revenue-share, uncapped. Sized as a range — not audited.
~75% is the industry norm, not a settlement rule. The share of the House-settlement cap routed to football.
Projected path. Endpoints are hard ($20.5M → ~$33M by 2034-35); the year-by-year path is an estimate.
Revenue-yielding seating first (Phase 1). Lifts per-game revenue once it opens.
Ops complex (Phase 2). Benchmark ~$50–60M (Clemson $55M, 2017).
Blended debt-service / amortization assumption on the capital tranches.
Incremental over a competitive ACC baseline, escalating 3%/yr for contract growth.
Share of the Dec 2025 match-challenge routed to football, phased evenly across the window.
Climbing the ACC's 60% viewership-weighted distribution. Base figure, ramping 30%/yr as BC wins and draws.
Probability-weighted in the contend window. One ACC berth worth ~$12.5M expected.
The signature shape: capital is front-loaded, offsets mature in the back half — the net falls in Phase 3 exactly as the ambition peaks. The board commits phase by phase, each gated by a milestone.
Five cost components build the gross; the offsets work against it; the net is what the board votes.
hardCap endpoints ($20.5M → ~$33M), BC's Dec 2025 commitment to the cap + the $50M match, the ACC's 60% viewership distribution model, and ~$12.5M expected per ACC CFP berth are owner-verified in the data spine.
rangeThe NIL floor and the ~75% football weighting are ranges, presented as ranges. The headline NIL line drives the honest window: gross ~$275M–$315M, net ~$190M–$230M.
assumptionFacilities tranche sizes, the match football-share, the ACC ramp, the CFP probability and the financing rate are labeled modeler assumptions — every one a driver you can move above. Excluded by discipline: the enrollment "halo" as a dollar offset.